JW V4

Slow, low-frequency, risk managed first strategy.

Quick Summary

  • Average amount of monthly trades 0-2
  • For who? Anyone who is and does not want to be involved with daily/weekly price movements.
  • Trading By default limit orders unless market moves away 0.3% or not filled within an hour in which we use market orders instead. Panic sells always uses market orders. Binance trades always uses market orders.
  • Strengths Low amount of trades, low amount of paid fees, lets winners run, low market exposure. Works well in bull runs and protects portfolio after bull runs. Exits to a safe haven (USD, EUR, or stable coins) to protect your portfolio.
  • Weaknesses May see a decent pending profit (ie. +5%) end up in a loss due to volatility happening within one hour. May exit early due to false positive signals from the Supporting Strategy that helps monitoring crashes on lower time-frames. Is not able to catch tops and bottoms due to its use of lagging indicators. Takes a long time, possibly over 6-12 months to show results. Because trades are rare, mentally hard to accept when trades end up in losses.
  • Portfolio Risk profile Accepts higher drawdown compared to V5 when entering new trades and during volatility. Does not trade in mid-bear market trends.
  • Recommendation This is the most profitable strategy, performing better than V5. However due to it's slow nature it's not recommended for people who check prices regularly. As it accepts much higher drawdowns than V5, it's sometimes unsettling if you watch it's position closely. It's for the people who do not care about price movements at all and just check the monthly performance reports.
  • Backtest Notes The net performance numbers include 0.3% fees and 0.05% slippage. These are the fees from CoinBase Pro market orders. Limit orders are free. Some trades may be filled with a limit order which would give us a slightly better price. Binance fees are 0.075% when holding BNB and may result in better performance compared to CoinBase Pro. However it is good practice to backtest with the highest fee exchange.

Performance Summary

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